Arif Anindita
Postdoctoral Research Fellow
University of Milano-Bicocca, Italy
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Contact Information:
Department of Business and Law, University of Milano-Bicocca, Via Bicocca degli Arcimboldi 8, Milano 20126, Italy
Email: arif.anindita1@unimib.it
Phone: +39-3917459964
Biography
Biography
I am a postdoctoral research fellow in the Department of Business and Law at the University of Milano-Bicocca, Italy. My research focuses on family formation and its intersection with conflict and education. In my job market paper, I am studying how the anti-communist purge in 1965-1966 affected the demographic transition in Indonesia. I am also working on several ongoing projects, observing how conflict and identity influence family formation and labor market outcomes. Prior to academia, I served as an education and social policy analyst at the Governor's Delivery Unit in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Please find my CV here.
Education
PhD in Methods and Models for Economic Decision, 2025
University of Insubria, Italy
MSc in Economics and Finance, 2021
University of Naples Federico II, Italy
BSc in Economics, 2017
Universitas Gadjah Mada, Indonesia
Fields of Interest
Family Economics
Economics of Conflict
Development Economics
Job Market Paper
(With Muhammad F. Wahyu & Muhammad R. Sanjaya)
Presented at: World Bank, Malaysia; ESPE, Naples; ifo Dresden, Germany; AIEL, Milan.
Abstract:
The 1965–66 anti-communist purge in Indonesia eliminated hundreds of thousands of suspected Communist Party (PKI) affiliates and inaugurated a durable regime of political exclusion. This paper examines how post-purge repression reshaped demographic transition in Java. Exploiting municipal variation in PKI victories in the 1955 election and cohort-level data constructed from the 2010 population census, the analysis implements a two-way fixed-effects event-study design. Municipalities where the PKI previously won experience a large and delayed decline in births. The effect operates primarily through reduced marriage formation rather than fertility within marriage. Contrary to conventional displacement accounts, cohorts born after 1964 are less likely to migrate, indicating constrained mobility. Additional evidence shows that administrative screening limited access to formal employment, especially for men from PKI strongholds. The findings demonstrate how institutionalized repression can generate persistent demographic change through labor-market and household formation channels.
Keywords: Partai Komunis Indonesia; Conflict; Genocide; Fertility; Marriage; Migration.
JEL: D74, J12, J13, R23.
Find my research here.
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